In case you missed it …there’s an election going on

If you’re one of the 5.7 million Australians who have already voted* (so roughly 32% of the total 18 million voters) then you’ve clearly made up your mind. But what about those who haven’t yet?

This isn’t of course the full remaining 78% – many may have already made up their mind but are just waiting for the right time to cast their vote.

One of the benefits of early voting used to be no queues, no waiting. But now that it’s so popular you might be better off voting on Election Day!

Bonner has been regarded as a relatively safe LNP seat, however it is currently considered a marginal LNP seat at 3.4%.

At the last election both major parties lost support (LNP -4.7%, ALP -1.5%%) and other parties gained support (Greens +5.1%, One Nation +1.6%), as was generally the case nationally.

Demographics

Demographics in the Bonner electorate will play a role in this election, but not as much as you might think. First time voters make up around 3.5% of all voters** here, but the biggest cohort of voters by age is the 70+ group at around 17% of all voters, and voters over 50 make up 47% of all voters as against 53% under 50.

Voting intent of course is not directly correlated to age, but there’s certainly a connection as highlighted in this recent article (‘I looked at 35 years of data to see how Australians vote. Here’s what it tells us about the next election’), which points out that “…the 2025 federal election will be the first in which Millennials and Gen Z together will outnumber Baby Boomers as the dominant voting bloc in Australia”.

So – who knows?

 

*https://www.sbs.com.au/news/live-blog/live-final-day-of-campaigning-in-2025-federal-election/9wul4sdpu
**our estimate based on AEC data here – https://www.aec.gov.au/Enrolling_to_vote/Enrolment_stats/elector_count/2025/elector-count-fe-2025.pdf

Main Image: Phil Hearing on Unsplash
Demographics Image: Brooke Cagle on Unsplash